Tropical activity is increasing in the Atlantic basin.
Together with Hurricane Gabrielle, who is currently tracking east of Bermuda, the National Hurricane Center is monitoring two tropical disturbances in the central Atlantic for potential development this week.
The first disturbance, located in the middle of the minor Antilles and the Cabo Verde Islands, now has 80% development possibilities in the next seven days, according to the last prognosis.
The activity of the shower and the storm has increased in the last 24 hours, and the environmental conditions are expected to become more favorable for development on Tuesday. The National Hurricanes Center says that a tropical depression is likely to form in the middle or end of the week as the system moves to the west-northwest.
Hurricane Gabrielle in the Atlantic Ocean is seen in a satellite image, on September 22, 2025.
NOAA
Given the predominant climate pattern, the forecast guide currently favors a track quite similar to that of Gabrielle.
The second disturbance, a disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms, is currently located several hundred miles east of the minors, west of the first system. Slow development is possible in the next few days as environmental conditions become more favorable.
According to the National Hurricane Center, a tropical depression could be formed at the end of this week as the system moves to the Southwest Atlantic Ocean. It currently has a 50% development possibilities in the next seven days.
Regardless of the development, the system could bring a period of raccoked winds and showers to the Sleeward Islands earlier this week, since it tracks west-northwest.
The next tropical depression to form would be updated to a tropical storm once the maximum sustained winds reach at least 39 mph, at which time it would receive a name. The next name on the list is Humberto.
Gabrielle’s development marked the end of a remarkably calm period in the Atlantic basin, a section that included the climatological peak of the hurricane season on September 10.
Tropical activity is expected to continue increasing in the coming weeks as conditions become more favorable for development, according to forecasting.
A view of the Wrightsville beach when Hurricane Erin approaches, warning of serious floods and potentially mortal coastal conditions, on August 20, 2025 in North Carolina.
Peter Zay/Anadolu through Getty Images
According to the NOAA Climate Prediction Center, the probabilities of tropical development are increasing in parts of the Atlantic basin as the large -scale environmental conditions become more conducive, a trend that probably continues in early October.
The experts of the State University of Colorado echo that they forecast, pointing out that changes in wind patterns and other atmospheric factors could withstand a remarkable increase in the activity.
While the climatological peak of the Atlantic Hurricanes season has passed, approximately 60% of tropical activity generally occurs after September 10, on average, according to the National Hurricane Center.
Historically, speaking, approximately two thirds of the entire activity of the Atlantic hurricane season occurs between August 20 and October 10.
Last year he showed that at the end of September and early October it can be an active period for tropical development, with multiple threats that can be high and potentially devastating.
